Balance of trade between India and China

India and China are two large Asian giants in terms of trade and commerce. In terms of population both these countries together constitute two-third of world population. That’s more than half of world’s consumers.

By 2015, the target of bilateral trade between two nations is set to $100 billion. Currently, it is nearly $75 billion a year. However the balance of trade is not in favour of India.

This visit is probably going to solve this negative balance of trade as China is likely to allow trade in the areas of telecom and IT sectors which are the core strengths of India.

Chinese Premier Li Kequing brought with him a large delegate of top business leaders from China who are currently have meetings in Mumbai – Indian business capital.

Chinese Premier Visits India

Chinese Premier has landed in India. Even while there are tensions between India and China on the borderline, this visit is going to be beyond that.

Indo-Chinese trade relation is currently valued at $75 billion. This has come a long way when the trade value was about $11 billion around 10 years ago.

It is expected that by 2015, Indo Chinese trade relations shall hit $100 billion. Now that’s big numbers.

This week danapredict will keep a watch on how the Chinese Premier’s visit will affect Indian markets.

Some of the sectors to watch will manufacturing, automobile and electronics.

We will be posting our analysis on this so keep visiting this section again.

Markets

Last week the markets are in yo-yo due to fundamental news flow.
Next week markets will be highly volatile. It will be interesting to watch. There is a important announcement from RBI on rate decision. My prediction is they should drop interest rate. Bank shares will have direct impact on it. If the interest rates are slashed, then bank shares will drop and vice-versa.

We are bearish on Bharti airtel and SBI.

RK’s Super 9 Vs monthly 999

I am comparing RK’s Super 9 with RK’s monthly 999 plan.

Both plans offer same leverage and same charges for software. The only point of difference is the brokerage. Super 9 charges 9 + 9 per trade that Rs.18 for buy and sell. There is no brokerage per trade in Monthly 999 plan. So how do we compare?
In Super 9, every trade is charged Rs.18. Suppose if we do 60 trades in a month, then this charge goes upto Rs.1080 (Rs.18 x 60 trades). This means if we do more than 3 trades every day continuously then irrespective of the turnover, our monthly brokerage will exceed Rs.1080 in the Super 9 plan.
In Monthly 999 plan, even if we do 100 trades a month, the brokerage still remains the same.
So we need to make a decision here – 
  1. If our number of trades will be more than 3 per day, then go for monthly 999. 
  2. If our number of trades will be less than 3 per day, then go for Super 9.

Is it possible to earn more by limiting trades to less than 3 per day? Yes, it is possible provided we have a 100% successful strategy. Suppose if we have a highly successful strategy, then we will invest in just one trade per day with high stakes and you are done with just a small brokerage of Rs.18. But if you are less confident of your strategy and want to diversify risk, then go for monthly 999. .

RK Global vs Zerodha

Features of Super 9 compared with zerodha’s 20-20:

  1. Rs. 9 per Executed Order: I think it is per one-leg. For both buy and sell orders it may be 9 + 9 which is Rs.18. Compare this zerodha which is Rs.40. 
  2. Leverage: RK offers about 6 times exposure while zerodha offers almost 9 times.
  3. Software maintenance: Zerodha has no charges for software while RK charges Rs.99 for web version and Rs.299 for ODIN.
  4. Service Tax, STT: Both charge the same as its levied by Govt.

Example: We have Rs.1,000 in our account. In RK we can buy shares worth 6,000 (6 times) while in Zerodha we can buy shares worth Rs.10,000 (10 times). Suppose, a share is Rs.100, then in RK we will buy 60 shares and in Zerodha we will buy 100 shares. 

If the share price increases by 10 paise which is Rs.100.10, then in RK we will make Rs.6 (60 shares x Rs.0.10) and in Zerodha we will make Rs.10. (100 shares x Rs.0.10). RK P/L will be -12 (6-18) and Zerodha P/L will be -30 (10-40) In both cases we will incur loss but RK loss is less when compared to Zerodha.
If the share price increases by 30 paise which is Rs.100.30, then in RK we will make Rs.18 (60 shares x Rs.0.30) and in Zerodha we will make Rs.30. (100 shares x Rs.0.10). RK P/L will be be 0 (18 – 18) and Zerodha P/L will be -10 (30 – 40). RK breaks even faster than Zerodha at 30 paise profit which is 0.3%.
If the share price increases by 40 paise which is Rs.100.40, then in RK we will make Rs.24 (60 shares x Rs.0.40) and in Zerodha we will make Rs. 40 (100 shares x Rs.0.40). RK P/L will be Rs.6 (24 – 18) and Zerodha P/L will be 0 (40 – 40). This means by the time zerodha breaks even, RK moves faster into making profit. In other words, at 0.4% change in share price, RK gives you profit while zerodha is still at break even.
In conclusion, Zerodha’s leverage of 10 times is not so useful. RK’s leverage and Super 9 are good.